Migration + Wealth Flow Explorer

State · Census age data

Arizona: where millennials are moving

Adults born 1981 to 1996 who lived in a different state one year earlier, from the Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey. These are survey estimates of people, shown with their margins of error.

The Census Bureau's 2024 American Community Survey estimates that about 56,400 adults born 1981 to 1996 moved to Arizona from another state in the prior year, while about 48,000 moved away. The difference, about +8,500, is smaller than the survey's margin of error (plus or minus 9,600), so this data cannot say whether Arizona gained or lost millennials on net.

The largest single source of millennials arriving in Arizona was California, at about 12,700 people (plus or minus 3,100), followed by Washington.

Moved in from other states

56,433

people · margin of error ±6,660

Moved out to other states

47,983

people · margin of error ±6,289

Net change

+8,450

people · margin of error ±9,596

Too close to call: smaller than the margin of error

States sending millennials to Arizona

Shaded by estimated people arriving from each state. Hover a state for the estimate and its margin of error.

Top origin states

StatePeople (estimate)Margin of errorConfidence
California12,730±3,116Good
Washington4,173±1,861Good
North Carolina3,376±2,585Small sample
Texas3,310±1,184Good
Ohio2,655±1,657Small sample
New Mexico2,270±1,110Good
Florida1,930±1,257Small sample
Illinois1,797±962Good
Utah1,751±1,036Good
Montana1,736±1,599Small sample
Idaho1,494±1,069Small sample
Michigan1,433±875Small sample
Colorado1,392±687Good
Alabama1,351±1,348Small sample
Nevada1,342±1,321Small sample

Showing the 15 largest of 43 states with movers in the survey sample. Smaller flows rest on only a handful of survey responses.

Why this does not match the IRS view

The All households view counts tax-filing households of every age from 2022 to 2023 IRS records. This view counts individual people in one age group from a 2024 Census survey. They measure different things in different years, so the two sets of numbers are shown side by side and never added together. Census age data stops at the state level, so there is no county detail here. More in the guide.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS). Estimates and 90% margins of error calculated by Home Grown Property Group from the person file and its replicate weights. Counts people ages 18 and over living in the 50 states or D.C. who lived in a different state or D.C. one year earlier; moves from abroad and Puerto Rico are not included. This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.