Migration + Wealth Flow Explorer

State · Census age data

Arizona: where millennials are moving

Adults born 1981 to 1996 who lived in a different state one year earlier, from the Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey. These are survey estimates of people, shown with their margins of error.

The Census Bureau's 2024 American Community Survey estimates that about 56,400 adults born 1981 to 1996 moved to Arizona from another state in the prior year, while about 48,000 moved away. The difference, about +8,500, is smaller than the survey's margin of error (plus or minus 9,600), so this data cannot say whether Arizona gained or lost millennials on net.

The most common destination for millennials leaving Arizona was California, at about 9,700 people (plus or minus 3,200), followed by Texas and Florida.

Moved in from other states

56,433

people · margin of error ±6,660

Moved out to other states

47,983

people · margin of error ±6,289

Net change

+8,450

people · margin of error ±9,596

Too close to call: smaller than the margin of error

States receiving millennials from Arizona

Shaded by estimated people leaving for each state. Hover a state for the estimate and its margin of error.

Top destination states

StatePeople (estimate)Margin of errorConfidence
California9,698±3,217Good
Texas3,517±1,383Good
Florida2,779±1,651Good
North Carolina2,689±1,427Good
Colorado2,550±1,017Good
Washington1,988±1,342Small sample
Utah1,972±1,021Good
Georgia1,810±1,103Small sample
Michigan1,773±1,673Small sample
Wisconsin1,716±1,373Small sample
Nevada1,163±647Good
Illinois1,048±739Small sample
Iowa1,026±866Small sample
Ohio1,016±710Small sample
Wyoming964±1,053Too small to rely on

Showing the 15 largest of 42 states with movers in the survey sample. Smaller flows rest on only a handful of survey responses.

Why this does not match the IRS view

The All households view counts tax-filing households of every age from 2022 to 2023 IRS records. This view counts individual people in one age group from a 2024 Census survey. They measure different things in different years, so the two sets of numbers are shown side by side and never added together. Census age data stops at the state level, so there is no county detail here. More in the guide.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS). Estimates and 90% margins of error calculated by Home Grown Property Group from the person file and its replicate weights. Counts people ages 18 and over living in the 50 states or D.C. who lived in a different state or D.C. one year earlier; moves from abroad and Puerto Rico are not included. This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.